NEEP's new market assessment shows a strong and growing market for high-performing air source heat pump (ASHP) equipment in the Northeast. 

Air source heat pump sales across New England and New York have grown 250 percent over an eight-year period. Across the broader Northeast region (New England and the Mid-Atlantic states), the report estimates that ASHPs represent 32 percent of the residential HVAC equipment market (market includes annual sales of ASHPs, furnaces, boilers, and central air-conditioners). Factors driving recent growth include expansion of energy efficiency programs and shifts in state-level policies.  

While progress has been made, the region must double down to meet a 65 percent market penetration goal by 2030 to which most states in the region have committed. The region can leverage its existing infrastructure to grow the market even further. NEEP also published a series of best practice guides to address the most vexing barriers to wider adoption of high-performing heating and cooling equipment. These guides provide effective strategies on mid-stream program design and implementation, workforce development, and co-promotion of weatherization with heat pump technologies.  

For over a decade, NEEP’s regional heating electrification initiative has worked to advance the adoption of high-performing heating and cooling equipment to expand the reach of these energy-efficient technologies to a broader range of consumers in the Northeast.

Northeast High-Performance HVAC Market Assessment
Best Practice Guide: Co-Promotion of Weatherization and High-Performance HVAC in Programs
Best Practice Guide: High-Performance HVAC Mid-Stream Programs
Best Practice Guide: High-Performance HVAC Workforce Development
Northeast Envelope Retrofit Market Assessment 

 

Research & Analysis Reports (Cost, Performance, Benefits, Impacts, Markets, Programs, etc.)

Evaluation of Cold Climate Heat Pumps in Vermont, Cadmus Group

Field Performance of Inverter-Driven Heat Pumps in Cold Climates, U.S. DOE

Driving the Heat Pump Market: Lessons Learned from the Northeast, VEIC

Ramping Up Heat Pump Adoption in New York State: Targets and Programs to Accelerate Savings, NRDC

Programs To Electrify Space Heating in Homes and Buildings, ACEEE

Decarbonizing Space Heating with Air Source Heat Pumps, Columbia Center on Global Energy Policy

Updated Buildings Sector Appliance and Equipment Costs and Efficiencies, U.S. Energy Information Administration

Home Heat Pumps in Massachusetts, Green Energy Consumers Alliance

RLPNC 17-14: Mini-Split Heat Pump Incremental Cost Assessment, NMR Group, Inc.

Ductless Mini-Split Heat Pump Cost Study (RES 28), Navigant

Energy Savings, Consumer Economics, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions from Replacing Oil and Propane Furnaces, Boilers, and Water Heaters with Air-Source Heat Pumps, ACEEE

The Economics of Electrifying Buildings, Rocky Mountain Institute

Benefits of Heat Pumps for Homes in the Southwest, SWEEP

You're Getting Warmer; A Comparison of Gas Furnaces and Heat Pumps in Midwest Homes, MEEA

Efficiency Maine Trust Home Energy Savings Program Impact Evaluation, Efficiency Maine

Ductless Mini-Split Heat Pump Impact Evaluation, Cadmus Group

EM&V Forum: Primary Research - Ductless Heat Pumps, NEEP

Ductless Mini-Split Heat Pump (DMSHP) Market Characterization Study (and HARDI sales data), NYSERDA

Maximizing Mini-Split Performance: a Meta, Market, and Measure Study, NEEA

Electrifying Space Heating in Existing Commercial Buildings: Opportunities and Challenges, ACEEE

VRF Market and Technical Analysis, NYSERDA

Residential ccASHP Building Electrification Study, CADMUS

Building Electrification: Programs and Best Practices, ACEEE

Market Strategies Reports - Residential

Northeast/Mid-Atlantic Air-Source Heat Pump Market Strategies Report 2016 Update, NEEP

Market Strategies Reports - Commercial

Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Market Strategies Report, NEEP

Market transformation strategies for energy-using equipment in the building sector, NRCan

Supporting the transition to a low-carbon economy, NRCan

Technology Guides/Reports

Emerging Heat Pump Technologies, NEEP

The Building Electrification Technology Roadmap (BETR), NBI

Variable Refrigerant Flow Systems Report, PNNL

Modeling VRF Heat Pumps in Commercial Buildings Report, Southern California Edison

Evaluation of energy savings potentials of variable refrigerant flow (VRF) from variable air volume (VAV) in the U.S. Climate Locations, U.S. DOE OSTI

Heat Pump Retrofit Strategies for Multifamily Buildings, NRDC

A Zero Emissions All-Electric Multifamily Construction Guide, Redwood Energy

Zero Carbon Commercial Construction: An Electrification Guide for Large Commercial Buildings and Campuses (2nd Edition), Redwood Energy

Policy/Regulation Guides for Building Electrification

Implications of Policy-Driven Residential Electrification, AGA

Northeast 80x50 Pathway, National Grid

Renovating Regulation to Electrify Buildings: A Guide for the Handy Regulator, RAP & Synapse Energy Economics, Inc.

Strategic Electrification Reports

Electrification Futures Study: A Technical Evaluation of the Impacts of an Electrified U.S. Energy System, NREL

Electrification of buildings and industry in the United States: Drivers, barriers, prospects, and policy approaches, LBNL

A Preview of the U.S. National Electrification Assessment, EPRI

New England Electrification Load Forecast, E4TheFuture

Going Electric: Retrofitting NYC's Multifamily Buildings, Urban Green Council

Decarbonization of Heating Energy Use in California Buildings, Synapse Energy Economics, Inc.

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